Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1224.175347 1387.008949 1566.642137 1780.049718 2027.364766 2305.774318 2644.067177
2025-11-02 993.093850 1214.868256 1481.989806 1829.808854 2274.199610 2827.587028 3576.094307
2025-11-09 859.329303 1106.025987 1421.154179 1857.982218 2455.318391 3254.486829 4423.169499
2025-11-16 763.016110 1022.482787 1369.870161 1876.494279 2609.112710 3649.882224 5276.502002
2025-11-23 690.475837 957.465584 1329.545365 1896.495717 2757.421601 4047.247699 6187.475005
2025-11-30 636.625656 909.988323 1304.816986 1930.679773 2924.366275 4487.934065 7231.937184
2025-12-07 570.356935 836.042509 1231.389083 1879.251979 2947.537176 4700.783916 7931.393112
2025-12-14 514.407762 771.202589 1163.686678 1826.513068 2957.908293 4888.254522 8610.751215
2025-12-21 464.660313 710.797295 1096.144828 1764.881119 2942.901069 5025.871497 9216.244686
2025-12-28 446.385375 698.122852 1102.825102 1826.713604 3147.665887 5579.511437 10713.931890
2026-01-04 423.577049 675.715080 1090.837665 1853.982114 3292.133182 6039.969626 12108.786185
2026-01-11 400.699127 650.999244 1072.275276 1866.723268 3409.737465 6463.337384 13504.070519
2026-01-18 378.569645 626.317291 1052.564233 1877.223038 3528.552246 6915.692013 15079.795802
2026-01-25 364.550616 614.584812 1054.714729 1929.358244 3738.076961 7592.169501 17336.094790
2026-02-01 348.629169 597.970510 1046.206234 1959.323773 3905.131048 8202.622450 19572.393115
2026-02-08 332.759270 580.044003 1033.448298 1978.994827 4052.266146 8791.426671 21894.386559
2026-02-15 318.446646 563.772864 1022.224581 2000.251768 4205.296062 9418.917591 24478.704130
2026-02-22 307.029701 551.988607 1018.499686 2036.586047 4397.226038 10173.538255 27625.335342
2026-03-01 286.535710 521.238097 974.746482 1981.925552 4368.566150 10366.930721 29142.637550
2026-03-08 267.643324 492.282639 932.317851 1925.885168 4329.404652 10526.853598 30599.645100
2026-03-15 249.336732 463.267379 887.602509 1860.412996 4259.048442 10592.784444 31773.747056
2026-03-22 244.990133 461.839027 899.775938 1926.098232 4527.820754 11641.138571 36580.257385
2026-03-29 237.456385 453.374518 896.401653 1955.072041 4705.907318 12465.609340 40863.204062